北京本事4月9日-10日凌晨，欧冠1/4决赛首回合4场大战限度。首个比赛日，阿森纳3-0大捷皇马，拜仁1-2负于国米；第2个比赛日，巴萨4-0横扫多特，巴黎圣日耳曼3-1打败维拉。OPTA给出欧冠4强概率，巴萨晋级但愿99%，皇马仅有6%的但愿。

阿森纳3-0皇马：阿森纳94%晋级

赖斯的大肆球双响，梅里诺惜墨若金，阿森纳3-0大捷皇马。OPTA模拟成果是，阿森纳晋级概率高达94%——换句话说，皇马仅有6%的翻盘但愿。对皇马来说，念念要迎风翻盘实在不易。阿森纳的驻防褂讪，维尼修斯、姆巴佩齐占不到低廉，唯独不输3球以上就晋级，阿森纳莫得翻车的情理。

拜仁1-2国米：国米83%晋级

OPTA模拟成果合计，国米晋级4强的概率达到83%，拜仁仅有17%的逆转但愿。国米胜在驻防和谨慎，本赛季欧冠联赛阶段，国米8场只丢1球，1/8决赛淘汰费耶诺德，小因扎吉的球队也只丢1球，10场丢2球，这么的防地号称铁壁铜墙。拜仁念念要在梅阿查球场翻盘，得指望凯恩不要“软脚虾”。

巴萨4-0多特蒙德：巴萨99%晋级

不管从哪个层面上来看，有压倒性上风的巴萨，晋级4强毫无悬念。OPTA预计，巴萨打进4强的概率为99%，也便是说，多特1%的翻盘但愿，也只是是表面上云尔。

巴黎圣日耳曼3-1维拉：巴黎91%晋级

恩里克的巴黎，继续着强劲的势头，最近19场比赛，巴黎赢下18场，唯独的输球是欧冠0-1负于利物浦，但巴黎全场占优，次回合翻盘。OPTA给出数据，巴黎晋级4强概率91%，维拉仅为9%。埃梅里念念要复仇恩里克的筹划（2017年欧冠，恩里克的巴萨逆转埃梅里的巴黎），还得推迟。

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